Diagnosing scientific replicability through probabilistic distinguishability.

Commentary on:Becker, Laura and Guzmán Naranjo, Matías. "Replication and methodological robustness in quantitative typology" Linguistic Typology, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1515/lingty-2023-0076

We propose a method to manage the complexity of large expert systems based on causal probabilistic networks. The method operates by partitioning large domains into smaller subdomains. An iterative procedure operates through increasingly complex subdomains, where inference is limited to consider only plausible diagnoses. The method is introduced by a simple example and we report a case from MUNIN, where a patient with three diseases is diagnosed.